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Breakthrough In The Donbas: Will It Lead to a Breakout and Encirclement?

on Tue, 05/24/2022 - 15:51

One month ago, I wrote of the Battle for the Donbas becoming the focal point of the Russian invasion of the Ukraine. I speculated as to Russian capabilties, intentions, and what might occur. It appears that the Ukrainian position in the Donbas is in big trouble. The question is when will that position collapse, and the answer there is as much a product of Russian decision-making as to how it conducts its war as much as it might be a result of any other factors. The following should help explain why.

The campaign in the Donbas has featured an intensive Russian pounding of deeply entrenched